卡姆丹克進入射程範圍

很久也沒有更新這個blog, 不過在google搜尋卡姆丹克的網誌應該在第一版中仍能看見我的blog, 看來詳細探討卡姆丹克的blog暫時只此一家, 哈哈… 所以每當卡姆丹克大升人流也會大增~ (忽發奇想, 是否每次人流突破新高後, 便開始賣出手上的712呢?)

天寒地凍, 手也僵了, 這種天氣下沒有動力去貼圖解釋我認為卡姆丹克已經進入可以買入的階段, 請路過此博的朋友自行到aastock的「圖表分析」參考一下卡姆丹克的6個月的日線與週線圖

我有這個觀點純是基於我在圖表上的觀察, 小弟功力尚淺, 希望在此博貼文能收拋磚引玉之效, 客套說話到這裡, 入正題

根據我的膚淺的觀察:

1)在6個月的日線與週線圖我們看到712的大勢是向上的, 先看6個月日線圖, 若在過去的6個月中, 以rsi指標作準則, rsi觸及50或50之下, 便是買入之時, 過去6個月的命中率是100%

2)在6個月的週線圖中, 沒有試過多於連續2星期是以陰觸收市, 同時每次跌至週線圖的10天線便開始反彈, 以此線作支持位的話, 過去6個月的命中率又是100%的

今天(2010年12月17日)的收市的RSI是47.212, 是低於50之下, 符合1)的買入指標, 而今天收報2.88, 剛好落在週線圖的10天平均線2.882, 2)的買入指標也符合了

我今天也趁收市前買入, 我下的價位2.86始終未能執行, 因大市跌穿了22800這個心理關口, 我怕若一些心理關口跌穿後會再"下"一城, 加上我倉位不低, 大約8成, 還是保守些好

若大家有興趣買進712, 我認為現在是個兩個月一遇的時機, 我對此股是沒有甚麼目標價, 因為股價的走勢是由一連串事件推動, 沒有人能預測這是事件的好壞與發生的時序, 所以都是且戰且走, 但我尚且定一個止蝕給自己, 綜合日線與週線圖的觀察, 支持位在2.6左右, 理據是很粗疏的, 我只是以6個月日線圖的100天SMA和6個月的週線圖的20天SMA作支持位…

希望我不要看錯吧…

 

廣告
本篇發表於 個股研究, 卡姆丹克 並標籤為 。將永久鏈結加入書籤。

4 Responses to 卡姆丹克進入射程範圍

  1. Sing 說道:

    Ha…, long time no see. I do like your analysis on 712 and learn many analytic skill of stock market in your blog. I started to observe 712 a year ago and thought that it could rise a lot because its business was strongly related to solar energy. In fact, energy is the hottest topics in this century (especially green one). From scientific point of view, solar energy/nuclear energy (if controllable fusion become reality, please no fission any more) will win this competition. I previously bought 712 like a gambler, but I could earn some from its up and down. Your blog is a good indication to me. I bought it again at @$2.92 and $2.85. I hope that 712 can rise to $3. 4 this time.

    • desmondctt 說道:

      no analytic skill la, just a very amateur way to speculate by using the graphs 😛 May be i am too optimistic now and just now i reply to ur comment 712 is 2.73 which dropped so deep that out of my expectation. if you take a look of wind power sector, the sector is being washed no matter the past result was actually quite good. i do afraid that the solar sector is the next to be devaluated

      for me, i analyse 712 the fundamentals and the technical trends too, but when i execute the transactions, i do them like gambling, i really hate myself… if i continue to act like this, i just waste my effort to study 712:(

      i should make another entry to forecast 712 and use this as a framework for myself to do the transactions… as well as to see how correct/wrong i predict the trend of 712.

      thx for sharing ur thoughts here, sing hing

  2. Sing 說道:

    It starts again. The target selling price is $3.5 this time.

    • desmondctt 說道:

      is it expected that the 2010 result to be announced in late January? the growth in 2010 in very certain, the only question is will it be better than the guidance a lot. $3.5 gogogo!!! i hope 712 can build a solid foundation @ $3.00

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